The Probability of War: How Polymarket's 46% Became a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait
On July 18, 2024, a decentralized prediction market showed a 46% probability...
asymmetric warfare related articles
On July 18, 2024, a decentralized prediction market showed a 46% probability...
Fear
Market Sentiment
Team and early investor shares released
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
92 million ARB released
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Block reward halving event
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